Sunday 9 January 2011

Update - Sat 1st Jan to Sun 9th Jan inclusive

As promised, this post summarises how the trial has performed, since the start on Saturday 1st Jan. I'll post a similar summary every Sunday to cover the previous week; this one covers a slightly longer period as our first period end came after only two days. Newer blog-watchers please note that all of the advices are available in the history, time-stamped to prove delivery was well before the actual race start times.

Sun 9th
No selections
Sat 8th
No selections
Fri 7th
Ling 310 SYRIAN 4th, SP 9/2, BSP 7.36, +0.95LSP
Thur 6th
Hunt 140 QUINTUS 5th, SP 9/2, BSP 6.67, +0.95LSP
Hunt 240 MAMBA 2nd, SP 4/1, BSP 5.25, +0.95LSP
South 250 POWERFUL PRESENCE 1st, SP 2/1, BSP 3.17, -2.17LSP
Wolv 710 CANE CAT 6th, SP 13/2, BSP 8.8, +0.95LSP
Weds 5th
South 240 MY LES PU, SP 8/1, BSP 11.45, +0.95LSP
Kemp 605 ALGRIS 7th, SP 2/1, BSP 3.9, +0.95LSP
Tues 4th
Kemp 300 LOVE YOU LOUIS 8th, SP 3/1, BSP 4.1, +0.95LSP
Kemp 430 COZY TIGER 2nd, SP 11/4, BSP 4.0, +0.95LSP
Leic 150 GUNS OF LOVE 4th, SP 15/2, BSP 10.0, +0.95LSP
Mon 3rd
Ayr 240 DEVOTION TO DUTY 7th, SP 7/1, BSP 9.6, +0.95LSP
Ayr 310 SAMBELUCKY
2nd, SP 3/1, BSP 4.4, +0.95LSP
Sun 2nd
Folk 115 DOYENNE DREAM PU, SP 9/2, BSP 6.69, +0.95LSP
Ayr 225 GLINGERBANK
11th, SP 14/1, BSP 20.34, +0.95LSP
Ayr 300 SHERIFF HALL
4th, SP 7/2, BSP 4.96, +0.95LSP
Plum 245 QUEZTAL
PU, SP 7/2, BSP 4.8, +0.95LSP
Plum 315 ERE ALFIE
6th, SP 6/4, BSP 2.72, +0.95LSP
Plum 345 TOCATCHAPRINCE
PU, SP 10/3, BSP 4.51, +0.95LSP
Sat 1st (trial start date)
Fake 2:45 PEAK SEASONS 3rd, SP 4/1, BSP 5.55, Return +0.95LSP

In synopsis (1st to 9th Jan inclusive):
18 successful advices from 19
+14.93 level stakes profit (using BSP and deducting maximum Betfair commission)

While I believe it is far too early in the trial to be calculating any averages, I hope that the first nine days performance has shown that the results I alluded to are possible. And in the long term.

My overall strike rate oscillates between the high eighty and low ninety percents.
The overall average Betfair starting price of losing advices is less than 9/2.
My running average return on investment is 40%.
Which all allows me to deliver an average of a point a day profit.
 

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